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Market predictions could go awry; stick with long-term investment plan

Staying invested for the long term generates the highest probability of success, regardless of the direction of interest rates

    • Developing ongoing good investing habits may be the most important thing we can do this year and the only certain way to better prepare for a future that will always be uncertain.
    • Developing ongoing good investing habits may be the most important thing we can do this year and the only certain way to better prepare for a future that will always be uncertain. PHOTO: BT FILE
    Published Mon, Jan 8, 2024 · 07:17 PM

    LAST year was surprising in so many ways. Who could have predicted a double-digit rise among the broad global stock markets, 26 per cent for the S&P 500 Index, and a 55 per cent rebound by the Nasdaq? This is against the backdrop of the fastest interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in over four decades.

    What was even more surprising was how resilient and strong the US and global economies remained throughout that period.

    Most people may not remember this, but as 2022 came to a close and we entered 2023, a plethora of forecasts said interest rates had likely peaked. The forecasters spoke with a common voice that inflation was starting to decline; rates would begin to fall, and the Fed would cut rates in 2023.

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