Beyond rate hikes: Where markets may find their next drivers

Benefits of AI-related capex are set to become evident in corporate revenues, profit margins

    • A rate hike by the US Federal Reserve would more likely represent a reversal of the past year’s “insurance cuts”, rather than the start of a full-blown tightening cycle.
    • A rate hike by the US Federal Reserve would more likely represent a reversal of the past year’s “insurance cuts”, rather than the start of a full-blown tightening cycle. PHOTO: REUTERS
    Published Tue, Jun 30, 2026 · 02:14 PM

    JUNE was a pivotal month for global monetary policy.

    The European Central Bank raised its key policy rates by 25 basis points. The US Federal Reserve unanimously kept the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.5 to 3.75 per cent, but new Fed chair Kevin Warsh ushered in a new era seeking to re-establish the institution’s inflation-fighting credibility.

    Markets have increasingly priced in the possibility that the Fed could shift its policy path, with some even expecting another rate hike before year-end.