SCIENCE OF WEALTH
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The market makes no sense – or does it?

In the short run, markets respond to headlines; in the long run, they track fundamentals

    • Singapore joins some markets in Asia, where governance reform, valuation discounts and a clear policy tailwind are starting to compound.
    • Singapore joins some markets in Asia, where governance reform, valuation discounts and a clear policy tailwind are starting to compound. PHOTO: BT FILE
    Published Tue, May 5, 2026 · 03:24 PM

    BENJAMIN Graham, Warren Buffett’s mentor and the father of value investing, famously said that in the short run, the market is a voting machine; but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.

    A war in the Middle East is still raging; in Ukraine, war remains unresolved. As oil prices spike and inflation rises, there is concern that we may be entering a period of stagflation. Yet global stock markets have just hit another all-time high.

    It is tempting to think the market is irrational. But once you understand what is actually driving prices, it makes a great deal of sense. The key is earnings.