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October a damp squib

But, like an unexploded bomb, with the S&P 500 the danger comes in the shape of a head-and-shoulder reversal pattern

Published Tue, Nov 2, 2021 · 09:50 PM

    OCTOBER'S fearsome reputation as a month of panic, collapse and rapid rebound turned out to be a damp squib. Much beloved of boys' adventures from the 19th century, a damp squib was a small explosive device that failed to explode.

    This October's market activity had the same characteristics, but an unexploded bomb still represents a danger.

    With the S&P 500, the danger comes in the shape of a head-and-shoulder reversal pattern. This is best observed on a weekly chart. The head-and-shoulder pattern is a reliable signal of a significant trend reversal.

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