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市场观察人士：若风险对冲持续，金价或在2026年冲击每盎司5000美元

分析师称，预计新的一年里黄金的回报率将趋于温和

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Benicia Tan

Published Wed, Dec 17, 2025 · 03:02 PM
    • Marex全球市场分析主管Guy Wolf表示：“投资黄金并非为了‘去美元化’，而是为了‘去法定货币化’。”
    • Marex全球市场分析主管Guy Wolf表示：“投资黄金并非为了‘去美元化’，而是为了‘去法定货币化’。” 图片来源：商业时报资料照片

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    [新加坡] 黄金自2025年初以来已飙升超过60%，创下自1979年以来最强劲的年度表现，目前已稳定在每盎司4000美元上方。 

    尽管未来数月黄金的表现可能不及先前，但一些分析师认为，在各国央行持续买入、政府政策转变以及地缘政治风险对冲的推动下，金价有望在2026年底前挑战每盎司5000美元。 

    State Street Investment Management亚太区黄金策略师Robin Tsui表示，这些正是推动金价在2025年上涨的“结构性因素”。他补充说：“要达到牛市预期，我认为我们需要一些所谓的黑天鹅事件：股市回调、更多的政治紧张局势，以及超出预期的降息。” 

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