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华尔街分析师一致预测2026年股市将上涨

卖方策略师们展现出步调一致的乐观情绪，对标普500指数的年终平均预测意味着今年将上涨9%。

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    • 如果华尔街预测人士对2026年的判断是正确的，那么股市将迎来全球金融危机爆发以来最长的一次年度连涨。
    • 如果华尔街预测人士对2026年的判断是正确的，那么股市将迎来全球金融危机爆发以来最长的一次年度连涨。 图片来源：彭博社

    Alexandra Semenova and Sagarika Jaisinghani

    Published Fri, Jan 2, 2026 · 11:36 AM

    本文由AI辅助翻译

    查看原文

    无论是在大型银行还是精品投资机构，一种乐观的共识已经形成：美国股市将在2026年连续第四年上涨，创下近二十年来最长的连涨纪录。

    自2022年10月的低点以来，这轮牛市已将标普500指数推高了约90%，但人们对牛市面临的风险仍充满焦虑。

    人工智能（AI）的热潮可能转为泡沫破裂。经济状况以及美国联邦储备委员会（美联储）的利率决策可能出人意料。而美国总统 Donald Trump 的第二年任期可能带来比第一年更多意想不到的冲击。

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