The Business Times
business-time-50
CIO CORNER
·
SUBSCRIBERS

您是哪种类型的预测者？

关键在于，要考虑在不同的时间范围内，如果您的观点被证明是错误的，您会如何应对

google-preferred-sourceAdd BT as a preferred source
    • 投资者往往在投资组合中持有过多现金存款，因为他们认识到世界的复杂性，不希望在错误的时间点入市。
    • 投资者往往在投资组合中持有过多现金存款，因为他们认识到世界的复杂性，不希望在错误的时间点入市。 图片来源：PIXABAY

    Steve Brice

    Published Tue, May 12, 2026 · 03:33 PM

    本文由AI辅助翻译

    查看原文

    经济学家 John Kenneth Galbraith 曾将预测者分为两类：一类是不知道的人，另一类是不知道自己不知道的人。

    传奇投资家 Warren Buffett 也表达了类似观点，他指出，预测能让你充分了解预测者本身，却无法揭示任何关于未来的信息。

    在听取市场专家的意见并根据自己的预测采取行动时，这些观点至关重要。关键在于，要考虑在不同的时间范围内，如果您的观点被证明是错误的，您会如何应对。

    此翻译对您是否有帮助？

    CIO CornerInvestment portfolios

    TRENDING NOW

    Longest-serving chief minister Taib Mahmud’s legacy looms large over Sarawak as a family feud over his estate threatens to expose skeleton’s in the eastern state’s political closet.

    On the board but frozen out: The Taib family feud tearing Sarawak construction giant apart

    The bank on Tuesday priced 500 million euros (S$746.9 million) worth of fixed rate covered bonds due in 2029.

    Stocks to watch: OCBC, OUE, SIA Engineering Company, OUE Reit

    ​OCBC head of global consumer financial services Sunny Quek says: “All of us (financial institutions) have a wealth strategy. What’s really going to differentiate one bank from another is the execution."

    OCBC consumer banking chief Sunny Quek aims to double wealth business by 2029

    UBS' Young Jin Yee (left) and Conrad Huber present the Global Next Generation Report, which surveyed more than 170 next-generation wealth holders globally.

    Asia’s wealthy families shed taboo on succession planning as US$83 trillion changes hands: UBS

    Latest T-bills Treasury Bills Results & Interest NewsLatest SSB Singapore Savings Bonds NewsLatest COE Certificate of Entitlement News
    Latest Johor-Singapore SEZ NewsLatest BTO Build To Order & Sales of Balance NewsLatest STI Straits Times Index NewsLatest SGX Dividends, Share Price NewsLatest Bonds Market NewsLatest Singapore Stocks To Buy NewsLatest Singapore Economy News
    View More