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Australia dollar sinks on sterling, NZ dollar more buoyant

Wednesday, April 19, 2017 - 13:02

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[SYDNEY] The Australian dollar nursed painful losses on the pound on Wednesday as markets wagered a snap election in the UK could lead to a more favourable outcome for investors from coming Brexit negotiations.

The Aussie was also pressured by fresh falls in iron ore, the country's single biggest export earner, as worries about a supply glut in China dragged prices to 13-week lows.

The biggest losses came against sterling, which soared 2.6 per cent overnight to its highest since early January at A$1.7082. It was the steepest daily gain since August 2015 and gifted the pound a bullish break of the 200-day moving average.

The pound also gained 1.7 per cent on the kiwi overnight to reach NZ$1.8329, its highest since early September.

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Sterling surged when British Prime Minister Theresa May called an early general election for June 8, seeking to widen her party's majority ahead of Brexit negotiations.

"Providing political certainty and strength early in the Brexit negotiation period should be seen as positive in advance of the EU-27 Brexit summit on April 29," wrote Westpac analysts in a note to clients.

At the same time, the slide in iron ore and a neutral stance on domestic interest rates from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) was undermining the Aussie more broadly.

The currency was down 0.4 per cent at US$0.7525, having retreated from a US$0.7612 top at the start of the week.

It even lost ground to the kiwi which got a big boost from strong gains in prices for dairy, New Zealand's largest goods export earner. The Aussie was off 0.4 per cent at NZ$1.0672 having lost two cents in as many sessions.

The kiwi also rallied to a three-week high on its US counterpart, reaching US$0.7046.

Prices rose for the third time in a row a Global Dairy Trade auction, a recovery that bodes well for export earnings.

The next hurdle for the kiwi will be consumer price data (CPI) due out on Thursday. Inflation is forecast to have jumped to 2 per cent in the first quarter, almost two years earlier than projected by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

Anything higher could revive speculation about an early hike in interest rates, though the central bank has vowed to keep policy steady well into next year.

New Zealand government bonds rallied in line with US Treasuries, nudging yields 1 basis points lower at the long end of the curve.

Australian government bond futures benefited from a global bid for safe havens and the three-year bond contract added 3 ticks to 98.240. The 10-year contract rose 5 ticks to 97.5350.

The yields on cash 10-year paper touched its lowest since early November at 2.448 per cent, having fallen all the way from a March peak of 2.988 per cent.

REUTERS

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