The Business Times

Gold firms after 3-day slide as US dollar stabilises

Published Tue, Apr 24, 2018 · 09:50 PM

London

GOLD firmed after three days of losses on Tuesday as the dollar stabilised off an earlier three-month peak and a rise in US Treasury yields stalled, with lower prices tempting some buyers back to the market.

Gold has slid nearly 2 per cent in the last three trading sessions as a rally in US yields towards the 3 per cent mark pushed the dollar index to its highest since mid-January, making the metal more attractive to price-sensitive buyers.

It also suffers from rising yields in its own right, as these lift the opportunity cost of holding non-interest bearing assets like bullion.

Spot gold was up 0.1 per cent at US$1,325.81 an ounce at 1142 GMT, while US gold futures for June delivery were up US$3.70 an ounce at US$1,327.70.

"There are still a lot of risks out there that could flare up at any time," Capital Economics analyst Simona Gambarini said. "There might be some investors who hadn't bought insurance before who think now is a good time to get in."

Gold is often seen as a safe store of value in times of elevated geopolitical or financial risk. It has benefited in recent weeks from concerns over the US-China trade dispute, sanctions on Russia and unrest in the Middle East, but has been kept in check by the prospect of further interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

"Based on interest rates, prices should be lower," Ms Gambarini said. "But there are a lot of other factors, and a lot of tensions that have been boosting prices... we think gold will continue to trade in this range between US$1,300 and US$1,350 depending on what happens with those risks, and the Fed hiking rates." The dollar took a breather on Monday after its recent march higher as US yields retreated, while European stocks rose another 0.2 per cent.

Autocatalyst metal palladium was down another 1 per cent at US$968.25 an ounce, having plunged 5 per cent on Monday after the US gave American customers of Russia's biggest aluminium producer Rusal more time to comply with sanctions.

Rusal owns a 28 per cent stake in Norilsk Nickel, the world's biggest palladium producer.

"(Palladium) has followed base metals prices on their downward trajectory now that the United States is considering lifting the sanctions against Rusal and probably will not impose further sanctions against Russia," Commerzbank said in a note.

"In response, the price gap to platinum has narrowed to US$50 per troy ounce again." REUTERS

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