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Oil retreats below US$47 before Opec meeting as metals snap

Tuesday, November 29, 2016 - 13:28
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Oil retreated back below US$47 as Opec members haggled ahead of a meeting on production cuts, while a rally in metals ran out of steam.

[WELLINGTON] Oil retreated back below US$47 as Opec members haggled ahead of a meeting on production cuts, while a rally in metals ran out of steam. The US dollar stabilised after a two-day decline and stocks were mixed as investors weighed Donald Trump's stimulus plans with threats to the market from Italy's referendum.

Crude futures swung back to losses as Iraq and Iran raised objections with Opec officials over how to distribute output reductions, referring the issue to ministers for further consideration. Copper slumped for the first time in seven days. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index stabilised after a two-day loss. Emerging market stocks were generally higher, while those in developed nations slid.

"What we are seeing now is a tug of war among Opec members to get their share of the pie," Son Jae Hyun, a global market analyst at Mirae Asset Daewoo Co, said by phone from Seoul.

"If a deal isn't made this time, none of them will benefit."

The impact of President-elect Mr Trump's surprise victory on the US dollar and commodities is waning, and traders are divided on how long China will be able to stabilise its economy while cooling its property market.

Investors are also focused on the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries' talks, with Saudi Arabia saying oil output cuts may not be required to stabilise prices.

Commodities

West Texas Intermediate crude slipped 0.7 per cent to US$46.77 a barrel as of 2:00pm in Tokyo, after rising 2.2 per cent on Monday.

Opec officials are so far failing to reconcile their differences on a pact to cut output and revive prices, with Saudi Arabia damping expectations of a deal by saying production curbs weren't essential.  Copper futures were down 2 per cent on the London Metal Exchange, while zinc declined 1.6 per cent and Nickel lost 2.1 per cent.

Gold for immediate delivery fell 0.2 per cent following last session's 0.9 per cent jump.

Currencies

The euro was down 0.1 per cent at US$1.0600 and the also pound lost ground, while the yen was little changed at 111.97 per US dollar.

Bloomberg's US dollar gauge, which tracks the greenback against 10 major peers, was little changed after a two-day decline.

"Given that he hasn't even taken office yet, the Trump rally hasn't become completely obsolete yet as a theme," said Ayako Sera, a Tokyo-based strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank Ltd.

"But given the big events coming up this week, it's probably the most sensible thing to do for investors to stay away from trading strongly."

The Chinese yuan gained 0.2 per cent after the People's Bank of China strengthened the fixing versus the US dollar for a second straight day South Africa's rand weakened 0.6 per cent. President Jacob Zuma survived the most serious challenge to his leadership yet, after a contingent of top officials failed to force him from office during a meeting of the ruling party's National Executive Committee Stocks About the same number of stocks fell as rose on the MSCI Asia Pacific Index, which gained 0.1 per cent. Japan's Topix Index, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index and New Zealand's S&P/NZX 50 Index were all little changed.

The Jakarta Composite Index rose 0.9 per cent, the biggest gain among Asian developing-nation equity benchmarks. Stock gauges in China, India and Thailand all advanced Futures on the S&P 500 were little changed after the underlying benchmark fell from an all-time high Monday, losing at least 0.3 per cent.  Bonds Japan, New Zealand and Australian government bonds were all little changed.

Ten-year Treasuries yielded 2.31 per cent, after falling five basis points last session.

BLOOMBERG

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