RETAILERS hit the send button on push notifications, text messages and video streaming ads to reach US shoppers on Cyber Monday, touting heavily-discounted cosmetics, electronics, toys, clothing and other products.

The estimate from Adobe Analytics, which does not account for inflation, predicts an increase of more than 9 per cent from the $11.3 billion that shoppers spent during Cyber Monday last year.

As of mid-day, investors pointed to Amazon, Walmart and Apple as possible winners for the day.

“It’s a little early to see how this all plays out,” said Jim Worden, chief investment officer of Wealth Consulting Group, which holds shares of Amazon. “There’s still good spending” online. “While the prices of TVs and some electronics have come down a lot, I don’t know how much the average consumer is going to nibble on these,” he said.

“One of the biggest things that we would be looking at is if the discounts throughout the day started to deepen,” said Brian Mulberry, client portfolio manager at Zacks Investment Management, which owns Amazon and Walmart stock.

But Amazon and Apple are “not having to discount things as much,” he said, which indicated possible healthy consumer demand for their merchandise on Cyber Monday.

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Retail consultant Carol Spieckerman said at mid-day on Monday that “the biggest discounts are still ahead, and shoppers are all too aware of that.” She pointed to lackluster store traffic on Black Friday, the day after Thanksgiving, as a sign that shoppers were ultra picky.

Overall Black Friday sales in stores and online rose by 2.5 per cent compared to a year ago, according to Mastercard SpendingPulse, which measures all payment types. Online US sales rose by 8.5 per cent while in-store US sales increased just 1.1 per cent, it said.

Charles Sizemore, chief investment officer at Sizemore Capital Management, said he expects retailers to have to discount more in the weeks ahead.

This makes him worried about profit margins at a time input and labour costs have not come down and shoppers continue to be picky. “I really think margins are going to be depressed,” during the holiday season,” said Sizemore, whose firm holds about US$2 million of shares each in Walmart and Target.

Last-minute shoppers on Monday could spend US$4 billion between 6 pm and 11 pm ET alone, said Vivek Pandya, lead analyst at Adobe Digital Insights. “Consumers are going to be concerned about discounts weakening after that,” he added.

Amazon began marketing Cyber Monday Deals as early as Saturday, including up to 46 per cent off some Instant Pot kitchen appliances, 37 per cent off certain Vitamix blenders, and 35 per cent on Amazon devices including a 55-inch Amazon Fire TV.

Walmart, eager to capture market share, slashed prices on Sunday night, joining the trend of retailers’ early discounts on major shopping days.

On Monday, Walmart stepped up discounts on some clothing to 60 per cent, up from the 50 per cent it offered on Black Friday.

Apple offered Apple Gift Cards of up to US$200 with eligible purchases. REUTERS