SUBSCRIBERS

Japanification? China should be so lucky

The Chinese economy is having a rough time. But comparisons with Japan are unfair – to Japan

Gearoid ReidyDaniel Moss
Published Wed, Aug 30, 2023 · 06:19 PM

THE world is finally awakening to challenges that have been building in China for years. That means it’s open season among the commentariat on the country and its economy. Languishing growth has produced a slew of unflattering comparisons both with the US, and with the China that was – the juggernaut that attracted as much envy as unease.

But as China slips into deflation, one word is popping up more and more to describe the gloomy atmospherics: Japanification. The surface similarities with Japan of the early 1990s are there: a rickety real estate sector, a fast-ageing population, and trade tensions with the US in a scrap for global dominance.

For a generation, you could take one big idea about global economics to fashionable salons and not be laughed out of the room: China’s ascent was inevitable, and the product of the country’s unique qualities. Japan’s mismanagement of problems made it a cautionary tale to be avoided. There’s now a pile-on the other way. It’s too easy to assert that China is now headed down the same path as prices retreat and demand wilts.

KEYWORDS IN THIS ARTICLE

READ MORE

BT is now on Telegram!

For daily updates on weekdays and specially selected content for the weekend. Subscribe to  t.me/BizTimes

Opinion & Features

SUPPORT SOUTH-EAST ASIA'S LEADING FINANCIAL DAILY

Get the latest coverage and full access to all BT premium content.

SUBSCRIBE NOW

Browse corporate subscription here