The Business Times

Europe: Shares post best week since 2011, focus on EU stimulus

Published Thu, Apr 9, 2020 · 10:13 PM

[BENGALURU] European stock markets gained for a fourth straight day on Thursday with sentiment propped up by the latest round of stimulus from the US Federal Reserve and on hopes the coronavirus pandemic was close to peaking.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index closed up 1.6 per cent to end a holiday-shortened week 7.4 per cent higher - its best week since 2011. London's FTSE led the charge among European majors, up 2.9 per cent.

Sentiment was buoyed by data showing France's coronavirus hospital deaths slowed and Spain's new cases eased, but the main lift of the session came as Wall Street indexes jumped after the Fed rolled out a US$2.3 trillion program to bolster local governments and businesses.

That overshadowed data showing another week with over six million new US jobless claims.

"The Fed will buy riskier debt and that should keep this V-shaped rebound going a little longer," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda New York.

"The Fed has shown the markets they are doing whatever it takes for the economy."

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All eyes were on the fate of a multi-billion euro programme that European Union finance ministers have been struggling to agree on this week. Eurogroup chairman Mario Centeno said the ministers are close to overcoming differences.

All major European sectors rose, with the travel and leisure sector - worst impacted by the pandemic - leading gains for yet another day. The sector added 24.5 per cent this week, helping reduce yearly losses to 36 per cent.

Cineworld topped the pan-region index, soaring 27 per cent. Shares of the cinema chain have been on the rise since it announced cost cuts earlier this week.

Keeping oil stocks afloat, crude prices gained after sources said Russia and Saudi Arabia have a new deal to cut oil output drastically in response to a collapse in global demand from the coronavirus.

The energy index has recouped nearly half of its value following a collapse crash in oil prices, triggered by a Saudi-Russia price war.

"The worst-case scenario, where Opec and its previous allies fail to commit to production cuts, would be disastrous for oil-producing economies (and) would see both (oil) benchmarks test a single-digit number," said Hussein Sayed, a market strategist at FXTM.

The Stoxx 600 benchmark index has earned back about US$1.7 trillion in market value since hitting an eight-year low in March, but remains nearly 23 per cent below its record high as sweeping lockdown measures crush business activity and spark mass layoffs.

Global stock markets have also gained ground this week, partly helped by a historic fiscal and monetary stimulus to cushion the economic blow of the health crisis.

The French government more than doubled the expected cost of its crisis response measures, pushing the budget deficit and national debt to record levels. France's main index was up 1.2 per cent.

With major European firms withdrawing financial forecasts and making dramatic efforts to save cash, analysts expect an earnings recession to deepen in 2020 with a 15.7 per cent slide in the first quarter and 30.2 per cent in the second.

Diageo, the world's largest spirits maker, became the latest firm to pull its sales forecast and suspend a capital return plan in a bid to shore up cash. But its shares gained 4.4 per cent after shedding almost a fifth of their value this year.

Europe's most valuable tech firm SAP SE rose 4.8 per cent despite cutting its full-year earnings forecast as the pandemic caused customers to put orders on hold.

REUTERS

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