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As long as Singapore and its financial market continue to grow, corporate deal sizes will inevitably expand as well. If the Straits Times Index maintains the straight-line growth trend of the last 20 years, the market benchmark would be around 6,000 by 2056, double its current level.
Different industries and technologies
In the 1970s, some of the most impactful stories such as textile quotas, wage restructuring and immigration liberalisation reflected the rapid growth of the manufacturing sector, which was overtaking trade as the biggest contributor to gross domestic product (GDP). Over the years, the services have begun to assert their dominance as Singapore has transitioned into a more developed economy. As Singapore and the world confront new technologies and business models, it remains to be seen whether and how business services, financials and information and communications can remain the key growth sectors.
Demographics will play an increasing role in shaping decisions as Singapore's population continues to turn grey. Population-related issues will keep retirement savings, immigration, productivity, healthcare costs, jobs, wages and automation at the top of policy agendas.
Climate change is also expected to increasingly drive decisions as global warming continues. A study carried out by the Meteorological Service Singapore predicts warmer temperatures by the middle of the century, and along with it higher sea levels and more intense rainfall
Trying to predict the future gets harder the further out one goes. But the pace of change is unrelenting, and if there is one certainty, it is that surprises are in store. What seems impossible today could be the discovery of tomorrow. Asked to give his thoughts on the possible news of 2056, DBS Group Holdings chief executive Piyush Gupta said: "Contact with an extraterrestrial civilisation from our Mars colony will make the headlines that year. Robots with artificial intelligence will lead the charge in this accomplishment." Why not?
The Business Times has been there to report and analyse the most significant news since 1976. Every week, this feature will showcase excerpts from the biggest stories for each year that the paper has been in operation. The full text of all the stories can be found online at bt.sg/bt_40
Data: Department of Statistics, Meteorological Service Singapore, ShareInvestor.com