Will Clinton's poll bounce hold?

HILLARY Clinton now leads national polls by 3.8 percentage points, up 1.5 percentage points since the Sept 26 debate.

She also leads in 18 out of 20 post-debate polls in swing states, trailing only in Ohio.

A leading polls-only forecast model gives Clinton a 72 per cent probability (17 percentage point increase), a polls-plus forecast model a 69 per cent probability (14 percentage point increase), and prediction markets a 70 per cent chance, up 8 percentage points.