Oil rises nearly 2% on strong economic data but trade choppy

OIL prices rose nearly 2 per cent on Monday in volatile trading, bouncing off multi-month lows touched last week, as positive economic data from China and the United States fed hopes for demand despite nagging fears of a recession.

Brent crude futures settled US$1.73, or 1.8 per cent, at US$96.65 a barrel.

US West Texas Intermediate crude was at US$90.76 a barrel, up US$1.75, or 1.97 per cent.

Last week, fears that a recession could dent energy demand pushed front-month Brent prices down 13.7 per cent to their lowest since February.

It was Brent’s biggest weekly drop since April 2020, and WTI lost 9.7 per cent.

Both contracts recouped some losses on Friday after jobs growth in the United States, the world’s top oil consumer, unexpectedly accelerated in July.

“Once again the macro influences have seeped back into this market especially as it relates to Friday’s employment number the economics of that should be giving us much better petrol demand than we’re seeing,” said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital LLC in New York.

On Sunday, China also surprised markets with faster-than-expected growth in exports.

China, the world’s top crude importer, brought in 8.79 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude in July, up from a four-year low in June, but still 9.5 per cent less than a year earlier, customs data showed.

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In Europe, Russian crude and oil products exports continued to flow ahead of an impending embargo from the European Union that will take effect on Dec 5.

Last week, the Bank of England warned of a protracted recession in Britain.

In terms of US production, energy firms last week cut the number of oil rigs by the most since September in the first drop in 10 weeks.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs said they believe the case for higher oil prices remains strong, with the market in a larger deficit than they expected in recent months. REUTERS