China factory activity eases into decline as growth wobbles

[BEIJING] China’s factory activity slowed in October, underscoring the challenges facing policymakers as they seek to sustain an economic recovery to ensure this year’s growth target is met.

The official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 49.3 from 50.1 in September, the National Bureau of Statistics said Saturday (Oct 31). That compares with the median forecast of 49.9 in a Bloomberg survey of economists. A reading above 50 indicates expansion.

The non-manufacturing measure of activity in construction and services came in at 49.7, versus 50.2 in September.

The deterioration suggests the world’s second-largest economy has lost some traction at the start of the fourth quarter, following a modest rebound in the prior three months.

Beijing may face more pressure to provide additional support after introducing a fresh package of targeted stimulus measures in recent weeks, as policymakers seek to keep growth on track to meet the government’s annual target of 4.5 to 5 per cent.

The weakness extended across both supply and demand, with the manufacturing production index falling 1.9 percentage points to 49.8 and the new-orders gauge dropping 1.1 percentage points to 49.4, according to the statistics bureau. Large manufacturers remained in expansion at 50.2, while the measures for medium-sized and small firms fell to 48.4 and 47.5 respectively.

SEE ALSO

China lifts secrecy on new key rate, sets it below old benchmark

The Business Times turns 50

Five decades of milestones and moments that shaped Singapore’s success story - told through our headlines.

Explore BT50»

The high-tech manufacturing PMI was 51.3, expanding even as overall factory activity contracted.

The government has already dialed up policies to bolster the economy, offering more credit support for small businesses and consumers, mortgage subsidies for some homebuyers and additional bond quotas for local governments. 

Construction on major infrastructure projects such as Six Networks has also been rolled out, and the authorities have signalled a willingness to introduce further measures if necessary. BLOOMBERG