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The most overlooked oil production boom is in China

The boost in the country’s output, while auspicious for China, could cause collateral damage in the global oil market. 

    • A crude oil tanker at an oil terminal off Waidiao island in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province. Since China became a net oil importer in 1994, its dependence on foreign crude has persistently increased.
    • A crude oil tanker at an oil terminal off Waidiao island in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province. Since China became a net oil importer in 1994, its dependence on foreign crude has persistently increased. PHOTO: REUTERS
    Published Mon, Jul 10, 2023 · 04:35 PM

    ASK anyone about China and the oil market, and the conversation will invariably focus on voracious consumption – and, perhaps more recently, the surge in electric-vehicle sales. Consistently overlooked is the country’s role as a major oil producer, but the latter matters now because, after a years-long lull, Chinese petroleum output is again booming.

    Spending billions of dollars via its state-owned energy giants China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) and Cnooc, Beijing has been able to reverse the decline in domestic oil production that started in 2015, lifting output this year to a near all-time high. In doing so, the country is somewhat damping the need to buy crude overseas, complicating the efforts of Saudi Arabia and its Opec+ allies to control the market.

    On top of extra Chinese output, Opec+ is already battling higher-than-expected oil production from several of its own members that are under Western sanctions: Russia, Iran and Venezuela.

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