NEWS ANALYSIS
·
SUBSCRIBERS

No winners in a trade war: US cannot continue to grow if its trading partners shrink

Economists estimate the impact of the likely tariffs so far would add half a percentage point to US consumer inflation this year

    • Canned soup and vegetables in a grocery store in New York City. President Donald Trump's 25% tariff on all steel and aluminium imports into the US could result in higher prices of consumer goods that use the metals, say economists.
    • Canned soup and vegetables in a grocery store in New York City. President Donald Trump's 25% tariff on all steel and aluminium imports into the US could result in higher prices of consumer goods that use the metals, say economists. PHOTO: AFP
    Published Thu, Feb 13, 2025 · 07:37 PM

    THE US consumer’s pocketbook and the bull market in stocks could be the first casualties of President Donald Trump’s trade war.

    Former Treasury secretary Larry Summers summed up this risk in no uncertain terms when he described Trump’s warning to the world as: “Stop, or I’ll shoot myself in the foot”. The best that can be said of the protectionist policies is that they artificially preserve jobs in heavy industries in the United States.

    In a surprising move to this end, Trump imposed an additional 25 per cent tariffs on all imports of two vital industrial metals – steel and aluminium. The Economist called the metals tariffs “an act of self-harm” because they would drive up the costs of consumer goods and splinter already-delicate supply chains.

    Copyright SPH Media. All rights reserved.