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Should investors worry about a 2008-style shock?

From Iran to private credit, things are unnerving but the wider financial system is better prepared

    • There are fears that AI will undermine the business model of software companies backed by private credit.
    • There are fears that AI will undermine the business model of software companies backed by private credit. ILLUSTRATION: PIXABAY
    Published Sat, Mar 14, 2026 · 07:30 AM

    BACK in the summer of 2008 – or just before the great financial crisis – two unsettling financial trends collided: oil prices surged to almost US$150 a barrel, and private funds holding sub-prime mortgages reported mounting losses.

    Investors might now feel some deja vu. In March, the US-Israeli attack on Iran has caused the oil price to see-saw violently. And while it remains well below that 2008 peak – especially in inflation-adjusted terms – it could still climb, given the record scale of disruption.

    Meanwhile, bad news is also tumbling out from the non-banking world, this time from private credit funds.

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