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Who’s afraid of the big bad rate pause?

Monetary policy communication will be a challenge in 2023 and central bankers may struggle to convey good news when it comes. 

    • How will Bank of Korea governor Rhee Chang-yong convey this week the central bank's conviction and stance on inflation and economic growth?
    • How will Bank of Korea governor Rhee Chang-yong convey this week the central bank's conviction and stance on inflation and economic growth? REUTERS
    Published Tue, Jan 10, 2023 · 03:53 PM

    WHO is afraid of the coming halt to interest rate hikes? Far from breathing a sigh of relief, central bankers will struggle to convey that this is a good thing. They may almost not believe it themselves. As Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo puts it, this is a time of sleepless nights.

    Monetary chiefs will be at pains to stress the tussle against inflation isn’t over and there is more work to do – even as their next steps are likely to be smaller increases and then pauses.

    But the issue isn’t whether the battle is won; few people are ready to declare peace. It’s that the bulk of the work is now done. If only they could bring themselves to say so.

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