SUBSCRIBERS

Bond yields are jumping at US Fed phantom shadows

The fixed-income market has become too bearish, too quickly

    • Fed chair Jerome Powell made clear that the impact of 450 basis points of tightening since March will have a lagging negative impact on the economy, adding that he sees signs of disinflation.
    • Fed chair Jerome Powell made clear that the impact of 450 basis points of tightening since March will have a lagging negative impact on the economy, adding that he sees signs of disinflation. PHOTO: AFP
    Published Fri, Feb 24, 2023 · 10:30 AM

    IT’S LIKE 2022 all over again, with 10-year US Treasury yields approaching 4 per cent, equity markets struggling and the US dollar strengthening.

    But now is not the time to abandon all hope and jettison fixed-income positions. Instead, investors should be contemplating where to add to their bond holdings, not reduce them.

    Other bond markets are hostage to the shifts in Treasuries, where yields are being driven higher as the market anticipates the US Federal Reserve will continue to tighten aggressively. Shorter maturities are leading the way, with the two-year US yield back up to the November peak of 4.7 per cent and close to its highest since the global financial crisis.

    Share with us your feedback on BT's products and services