Winners and losers in Asia’s evolving geopolitical and economic order

THE potential recalibration of US security commitments in Asia under the Trump administration could mark a significant transition in the region’s geopolitical and economic landscape. Since the end of World War II, the US has played a stabilising role in the Indo-Pacific, supporting a rules-based framework that facilitated economic growth and regional cooperation.

However, a shift in US priorities – marked by an emphasis on unilateralism and an “America First” approach – could accelerate the evolution of the postwar global order, prompting new strategic alignments, economic adaptations and opportunities for regional leadership.

A changing geopolitical landscape

A reduced US presence in Asia would create space for regional powers to assume greater responsibility in shaping the security architecture. China has expanded its influence through initiatives such as the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).