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世界银行大幅下调马尼拉增长前景，中东冲突威胁汇款与国库

菲律宾正面临自疫情以来最严峻的压力测试

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    • 随着菲律宾2026年3月通胀率达到4.1%的20个月高点，比索的购买力已被削弱。
    • 随着菲律宾2026年3月通胀率达到4.1%的20个月高点，比索的购买力已被削弱。 图片来源：EPA

    Rachel Ranosa-Joshi

    Published Fri, Apr 10, 2026 · 01:58 PM

    本文由AI辅助翻译

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    【马尼拉】世界银行大幅下调了菲律宾2026年的增长预测，从5.3%降至3.7%，此举标志着该国对不断加深的中东冲突表现出极大的脆弱性，也是对其经济轨迹的一次严峻调整。

    该多边贷款机构指出，地缘政治危机是菲律宾消费驱动型经济面临的主要威胁。然而，更多因素开始表明，该国正进入自疫情以来最严峻的压力测试。

    与国际货币基金组织5.6%的预测以及亚洲开发银行近期公布的4.4%的估算相比，世界银行修正后的预测是最低的。

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