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应对伊朗战争复杂性：最坏情况下亚洲企业将损失惨重

可能出现四种不同的合理未来情景，其中最坏的情况是“区域性战火”

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    • 自敌对行动开始以来，伊朗一直在袭击海湾国家并封锁霍尔木兹海峡，旨在最大限度地向以色列和美国施加国际压力，以迫使其停止轰炸。
    • 自敌对行动开始以来，伊朗一直在袭击海湾国家并封锁霍尔木兹海峡，旨在最大限度地向以色列和美国施加国际压力，以迫使其停止轰炸。 图片来源：路透社

    Andrew Hammond

    Published Wed, Mar 11, 2026 · 07:00 AM

    本文由AI辅助翻译

    查看原文

    在美国和以色列的军事行动开始之初，外界普遍预计轰炸可能只会持续几天。但随着冲突造成的死亡人数不断攀升，这些最初的假设已经变为至少持续数周。

    最近一个可能延长冲突的关键事态发展是，伊朗专家会议决定任命已故最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊之子 Mojtaba Khamenei 为国家下一任最高领袖。

    这表明，德黑兰的政权强硬派目前可能仍牢牢掌控大权，而改革派则继续被排挤在外。美国总统 Donald Trump 宣称他对这一决定感到“不高兴”。

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