Global equities

GIC’s chief investment officer warns of AI bubble risk

If it fails to meet the high expectations priced in by the market, it could result in a sudden loss of value

GIC's annualised rolling 20-year real rate of return for the year ended Mar 31 is down 0.1 percentage point from 3.9 per cent in the year before.

GIC posts 3.8% 20-year annualised real rate of return; expects returns ahead will be more volatile 

GIC’s group CIO says it is ‘harder to prepare for’ the intensifying forces driving uncertainty in the world today

Equity prices might be pricing an assumption that tariff threats will be watered down, and bond markets pricing a belief Trump will not actually execute debt-expanding measures and cause investors to spurn Treasuries.
PERSPECTIVE

Trump is sowing confusion in the markets

While the behaviour of bonds suggests a downturn, American stocks are at record highs

Citi set its 2026 year-end earnings per share growth for the index at above 11%, which remains below consensus estimates of more than 13%.

Citigroup sets mid-2026 target of 1,150 for MSCI’s global equity index

The brokerage’s expected year-end EPS growth of above 11% for the ACWI falls below consensus estimates

For the second half of 2025, UBS expects investors to continue diversifying even as tariff and macroeconomic risks moderate.

AI, power, and longevity to drive next decade of transformational innovation: UBS

The next US$10 trillion companies will likely arise from these opportunities, says executive

An investor holding a diversified stock and bond portfolio will likely have some lemons in it. Nonetheless, other portfolio holdings could produce gains which more than compensate for any losses.
SENSE & CENTS

Learning how to cope with losing is an integral part of an investor’s journey

This is important since losses will be hard to avoid with the rise in financial market volatility

On average, an Apac FO allocated 24% to equities and 
20% to bonds from developed markets in 2024, according to UBS’ Global Family Office Report 2025.

Apac family offices favour developed market equities, bonds: UBS report

It also notes that succession planning is a big topic for many of them

A string of unfinished trade deals could give Trump a pretext to roll back tariffs if the economic pain becomes too much to bear.
MARK TO MARKET

Trump’s trade deals may support the S&P 500, offering nervous investors an opportunity to sell

The president’s tariffs could put the Fed’s dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices in conflict with each other

Despite tariff uncertainty, the European market is indeed benefiting from an expansive fiscal policy, led by Germany, and much lower interest rates than in the US.

Strategists ditch optimism for European stocks on trade war risk

A month after chasing the market with multiple upgrades for European stocks, strategists are back to cutting their targets, spooked by volatility and trade tensions.

In his executive order last Wednesday (Apr 2), Trump reiterated many of the grievances about global trade he had openly expressed on his campaign trail.
MARK TO MARKET

Don’t rush to take advantage of the big sell-off

Trump’s tariffs will almost certainly weigh on economic activity and corporate earnings; they also seem to be weakening the US dollar