Recession
Asia ‘absorbs the hit on every axis’: What volatile copper, aluminium prices mean for the region
Analysts note that Asia is most vulnerable to volatility in base metals due to a lack of buffers
The growing odds of a US stagflation trap
The oil shock from the Iran War could tip the American economy from slowdown into something more problematic
US recession risks begin to rise as war dims economic outlook
Several firms say inflation will now be closer to 3% this year than 2%, eating into disposable incomes and keeping a lid on hiring
BlackRock CEO Fink warns of ‘global recession’ if oil goes to US$150, BBC reports
If war stops but Iran still threatens trade and Hormuz, oil may stay above $100, he says
America’s war, America’s recession
Why the US is particularly poorly positioned to weather a food and energy-price shock
Recession risks rise for global economy
Recent monetary policy decisions by key central banks signal a rapidly changing outlook
Fed risks recession without more interest rate cuts, says governor Miran
He does not foresee an economic downturn in the near term, but thinks rising unemployment should encourage cuts
How markets could topple the global economy
If the AI bubble bursts, an unusual recession could follow
New Zealand firms’ gloomy outlook raises risk of recession
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand and most bank economists currently expect growth for the third quarter
US-China truce likely to avert recession but not coming slowdown
Financial markets have also received some support in recent weeks from key gauges of economic activity