Recession

PERSPECTIVE

How markets could topple the global economy

If the AI bubble bursts, an unusual recession could follow

A net 9% of firms expect their own trading activity will improve in the three months to December and 4% expect to hire workers before the end of the year.

New Zealand firms’ gloomy outlook raises risk of recession

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand and most bank economists currently expect growth for the third quarter

Forecasters generally agreed on Monday’s announcement points to a better, though still subdued, outlook for the US economy this year.

US-China truce likely to avert recession but not coming slowdown

Financial markets have also received some support in recent weeks from key gauges of economic activity

Southwest is among a growing number of airlines pulling financial guidance for the full year as a lack of economic clarity feeds uncertainty among consumers.

Southwest CEO says US airline industry is already in a recession

The Dallas-based carrier is more dependent on domestic leisure travellers for revenue than US peers with more extensive international operations and corporate business clients

Goldman Sachs economists peg recession risk at 45%, versus 65% before Trump announced the pause.

US economists say recession risk is still high after Trump pivot

[NEW YORK] Wall Street economists maintained their forecasts for a sharp slowdown in US economic growth and warned recession risk is still elevated despite the Trump administration’s decision this wee...

Walmart is prepping for a worsening economy by using its massive footprint to keep prices low and hunt for ways to take market share as tariff-spooked shoppers begin pulling back on spending.

CEOs brace for recession even after tariff reprieve boosts stocks

The tariffs are fuelling a gloomier outlook, with consumers expecting higher prices and spending turning out weaker than expected in February

Economic sentiment is darkening as money managers and corporate executives struggle to cope with the volatility created by US President Donald Trump’s escalating trade war.

JPMorgan model shows recession fear in markets spiking up to 79%

The firm calculates the prospect of an economic downturn by comparing the pre-recession peaks of various classes and their troughs during an economic contraction

Nike shares have dropped 14 per cent since markets closed on Apr 2, the day Trump announced tariffs.

US clothing retailers delay orders, freeze hiring as tariffs hit China, Vietnam products

These businesses face tough tariff choice: raise prices or absorb thinner profit margins

Inflation is likely to be elevated, Larry Fink says, casting doubt on the Federal Reserve cutting rates multiple times this year.

Larry Fink says most CEOs he talks to think US is in a recession

The US dollar is likely to weaken and consumption will probably decline as consumers and the wider economy adjust to the magnitude of the tariffs, according to BlackRock CEO

China, meanwhile, is mulling front-loading stimulus, which may include subsidies for some exports and potentially alleviate some of the pain for Cosco Shipping, Orient Overseas and China Merchants.

Chinese shipping earnings face ‘harder-than-expected’ tariff hit as recession risks rise

The tit-for-tat measures are prompting concern that transpacific volumes and shipping rates could fall