Trump administration

Trump-Xi summit: tactical concessions but little strategic breakthrough

Both Beijing and Washington can claim some kind of victory from the summit without giving up much

Having cleared the Senate Banking Committee on a 13-11 party-line vote, Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh is poised to succeed Jerome Powell after May 15.
THINKING ALOUD

Kevin Warsh’s Fed: Reform agenda or reputational risk?

His early actions would show if he is a disciplined reformer or a politically convenient appointment

When Chinese President Xi Jinping (right) meets US President Donald Trump in Beijing in mid-May, he will see Trump as the leader of a faded power, full of danger yet destined to decline.

China thinks America is declining but still uniquely dangerous

It sees Donald Trump as both symptom and accelerant of this deterioration

An Iranian with a picture of Iran's new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, in Teheran. He has not been seen in public since succeeding his father, but appears to be playing a significant political role in the crisis.

The risk of the Iran war restarting is irrationally high

Neither the US nor Iran can afford this to drag on, but hubris is blinding both sides’ ability to assess the other’s readiness to fight back

The transformation of the US from a net importer of oil to a major global supplier was sparked by the shale revolution of the early 2000s.

US is oil supplier of last resort as Hormuz disruptions worsen

Record American exports are testing limits – and voters are sure to question why so much crude is going to other markets

European confidence in American leadership is at an all-time low; more people in Spain, Italy, France and Germany now regard the US as a threat than a “close ally”, a poll shows.
THE BOTTOM LINE

Are Europe and America headed for divorce?

For now, the two sides remain locked in an unhappy marriage

Trump (centre), flanked by Todd Blanche, acting US attorney-general (left) and Kash Patel, director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation FBI, meeting the media at the White House after the shooting incident on Apr 25.

Trump and the recurring assassin

Shooting on Apr 25 is third assassination attempt on the US president in under two years

As international perceptions of Chinese power change, its global favourability becomes more difficult to manage.

China’s ‘Trump-sized’ window of opportunity

Global sentiment is shifting, presenting Beijing a generational moment – and a familiar problem

Many of the claims made by US President Donald Trump about Iran and the state of negotiations with Teheran have been deemed untrue.

Logic demands an Iran deal. Will Trump’s fantasies allow one?

Both sides have much to lose from continuing the war, yet reason may not prevail