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能源市场还能承受伊朗战争多久？

战略石油国库和闲置产能正在耗尽

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    • 油价的剧烈波动是迄今为止这场战争中能源经济的缩影：巨大的冲击被迅速吸收和化解。
    • 油价的剧烈波动是迄今为止这场战争中能源经济的缩影：巨大的冲击被迅速吸收和化解。 图片来源：BT档案

    Leon Hadar

    Published Wed, Jul 22, 2026 · 07:00 AM

    本文由AI辅助翻译

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    迄今为止，全球石油市场已经两次消化了霍尔木兹海峡关闭的预期，之后又两次逆转了这一定价。霍尔木兹海峡是一个咽喉要道，全球约五分之一的原油和三分之一的液化天然气曾流经此地。

    在美国与伊朗的战争爆发后，布伦特原油价格曾短暂飙升至每桶120美元以上。

    到了六月，随着海峡重新开放，布伦特原油价格已跌至72.24美元，这是自2月28日美国和以色列袭击伊朗以来的最低点。

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