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美联储面临双重使命挑战与内部分歧

决策者在粘性通胀与劳动力市场风险之间寻求平衡，尚无明确政策良方

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    • 美联储更新的经济预测显示，其对经济增长的看法日益乐观，但对通胀的担忧依然存在。
    • 美联储更新的经济预测显示，其对经济增长的看法日益乐观，但对通胀的担忧依然存在。 图片：路透社

    Leon Hadar

    Published Mon, Dec 15, 2025 · 06:00 PM

    本文由AI辅助翻译

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    美联储12月10日的会议揭示了这家央行正处于一个关键的转折点——其特点是前所未有的内部分歧、相互冲突的经济压力以及对未来路径日益增长的不确定性。

    尽管联邦公开市场委员会（Federal Open Market Committee）连续第三次降息25个基点，将联邦基金利率降至3.5%至3.75%的区间，但9比3的投票结果以及主席Jerome Powell的谨慎论调表明，稳定降息的时代可能即将结束。展望2026年及以后，未来几个月的货币政策可能会受到几个关键动态的影响。

    12月会议最直接的影响是，持续暂停降息如今看来可能性很高。

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