IMF

IMF raises UK outlook but warns political turmoil could hurt growth

The IMF said Britain’s economy would grow by 1.0% this year

The view of many economists today is that if a crisis is going to strike, it is likely to be triggered in the US.

Imbalances are back on the global agenda

Policymakers must overcome the mercantilist fallacy that the way to get rich is by running surpluses forever

Satsuki Katayama, Japan’s finance minister, said on Monday that the authorities can take bold action on speculative currency moves in line with a US-Japan agreement.

Japan has two more windows for yen intervention by IMF rules

Market participants anticipate the currency resuming its weakening trend with or without such manipulation

“Now, if this continues into 2027 and we have oil prices of US$125 more or less, then we have to expect a much worse outcome,” IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva says.

IMF chief Georgieva warns of ‘much worse outcome’ if Middle East war drags into 2027

The adverse scenario forecast global growth slowing to 2.5% in 2026 and headline inflation of 5.4%

Stock markets don't seem too concerned by the impact of the Iran war. This could backfire, says the writer.

Are stock markets in denial about the true cost of Iran war?

Macro risks suggest that the markets are too sanguine and may be mispricing the impact of the war

IMF’s reports paint a picture of a global economy that was finally finding its footing, only to be knocked back again by the outbreak of war in the Middle East.

The world economy is in the shadow of war, and the warning signs are flashing

Global growth is now projected to slow to 3.1% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027

Saudi Arabian Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan summed up the mood of many officials when he said he would not be comfortable predicting an improved outlook until tankers start moving freely through the strait again.

IMF, World Bank meetings show limits in mitigating shocks, reliance on US for solutions

Participants swing from gloom over a worsening global outlook to tentative optimism

European Central Bank headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, July 21, 2022.

IMF expects ECB to raise rates by half a percentage point in 2026

The ECB’s main interest rate is currently set at 2 per cent

Krishna Srinivasan, director of the IMF's Asia-Pacific department, says Asian policymakers must ensure fiscal support is timely and targeted to those most in need.

IMF warns of Asia’s vulnerability to war-induced energy shock

An acute hit to growth is possible if a prolonged conflict triggers supply shortages

The IMF maintains its view that Japan’s inflation will converge to the central bank’s 2 per cent target by the end of 2027, said its mission chief for Japan Rahul Anand.

IMF says Bank of Japan can see through inflationary shock from Iran war

[WASHINGTON] The Bank of Japan can see through inflationary pressures from the war in the Middle East as any second-round effects on broader prices will be limited, Rahul Anand, the International Mone...