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OUTLOOK 2026

经济学家：新加坡金管局在2026年有应对突发冲击的政策空间

关税、人工智能芯片需求减弱或全球经济放缓超预期可能促使政策放宽——但政策收紧亦有可能。

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Low Youjin

Low Youjin

Published Sat, Dec 20, 2025 · 07:00 AM
    • 当前的政策设定使新加坡元名义有效汇率 (S$NEER) 政策区间处于“温和渐进的升值轨道”。
    • 当前的政策设定使新加坡元名义有效汇率 (S$NEER) 政策区间处于“温和渐进的升值轨道”。 制图：TEOH YI CHIE

    本文由AI辅助翻译

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    【新加坡】经济学家表示，低通胀将为新加坡金融管理局 (MAS) 提供政策空间，以便在2026年经济增长遭遇意外冲击时放宽政策。

    然而，经济增长的韧性也意味着收紧政策的可能性并未被排除。

    在2025年初两次小幅放宽政策后，市场基本预期是新加坡金管局在整个2026年将维持政策稳定。

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