US economy

US consumer prices surge as expected in March

The CPI jumped 0.9% last month, the largest increase since June 2022

The economy was previously reported to have grown at a 0.7 per cent pace in the fourth quarter.

US Q4 GDP growth revised lower to a 0.5% rate

Revisions to Q4 growth pace reflected downgrades to business spending on intellectual products as well as inventories

San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly noted that US consumers were still spending and businesses investing.

US economic fundamentals in a ‘good place’ despite Iran war: US Fed President Daly

SAN Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly on Wednesday said the US economy is fundamentally in a “good place” despite sharply higher oil prices from the Iran war and the uncertainty over how l...

The war has caused oil prices to surge and renewed upward pressure on inflation, which has run above the Fed’s 2% target for five years.

US inflation expectations jump with Iran war, Fed survey finds

Food costs are seen rising by 6% over the next year

History suggests that when energy costs surge, the consequences rarely remain confined to the pump.
THINKING ALOUD

The growing odds of a US stagflation trap

The oil shock from the Iran War could tip the American economy from slowdown into something more problematic

Services sector employment contracted, with the jobs measure dropping to the lowest level since December 2023.

US service sector cools in March; price paid measure highest in 3½ years

It’s an early sign that the prolonged war with Iran was boosting inflation pressures

Citigroup says weak hiring will push the unemployment rate higher in the summer, similar to the last few years.

Citigroup pushes back Fed rate cut timeline after strong US job numbers

Downside risks for the labour market are mounting from a war with Iran that has no clear end in sight

A man fuels up his vehicle at a petrol station in Chicago, Illinois, April 4, 2026.

US inflation seen spiking in first snapshot since Iran war

Oil prices have climbed to almost US$120 a barrel last month

Last year, the Fed stayed in wait-and-see mode, assessing the economic fallout from President Donald Trump’s sweeping policy changes.

Strong US jobs numbers make the Fed’s job easier

March job growth gives policymakers some breathing room to focus on the inflation side of their mandate

March’s employment report likely has no impact on the interest rate outlook, with the effects of supply chain disruptions from the conflict still to work their way through the economy.
LATEST US DATA

US March employment growth rebounds; jobless rate falls to 4.3%

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 178,000 jobs last month after a downwardly revised 133,000 drop in February