Economic growth

The enduring enigma of economic growth

Unlike politicians, economists admit that they don’t know why countries prosper or stagnate

Britain's GDP declined 0.1% in April following gains in the previous two months, says the Office for National Statistics.

UK economy shrinks in April as Iran war starts to take its toll

It follows a bumper first quarter when Britain enjoyed strong growth

The forecast by the World Bank is lower than Indonesia’s growth projections of 5.4 per cent to 6 per cent.

World Bank says Indonesia’s GDP to slow to 5% in 2026 as fiscal pressures rise

The country has been using state finances to keep fuel prices unchanged

The annual inflation rate rose to 2.89% in April, the highest rate in more than three years, due to higher energy costs.

Thailand sees 2% growth and 3% inflation in 2026, central bank chief says

The Bank of Thailand is not worried about stagflation, Vitai Ratanakorn adds

Rachel Reeves, the UK finance minister, says the data shows she has the right economic plan.

UK economy shows unexpected growth of 0.3% in March

Its pickup of 0.6% for Q1 as a whole marks the third year running of strong expansion in the first quarter

Ships and tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, which has oscillated between opening and closure.
CIO CORNER

Investing in an energy-driven world

Capital deployed into low energy-intensity, high-quality compounders should outperform

Overall, emerging market and developing economies, where GDP tends to be more dependent on oil inputs, take a bigger hit from the Middle East conflict than advanced economies,

IMF cuts growth outlook, warns of potential global recession if Iran war worsens

The IMF presented three growth scenarios: weaker, worse and severe, depending on how the war unfolds

Falling emissions alongside rising gross domestic product show that growth no longer always equals more pollution.

Why ‘decoupling’ energy emissions from GDP growth underpins the green transition

The US, UK, France and Germany have cut emissions while growing their economies. Doing so makes net-zero more achievable

Software companies have suffered big sell-offs on concerns that the emergence of AI agents may unravel their businesses
MARK TO MARKET

Citrini’s dystopian AI narrative may be wrong, but it could catalyse deeper thinking, policy change

The research firm imagined a tax on the use of AI, and the establishment of a public claim on the returns from AI infrastructure

Solar panels are arranged to resemble pandas at a power plant in Datong. Even with a headlong renewables build-out, China's rising electricity consumption means that any shortfalls are met by coal generators.

China’s energy future still runs on old technology

The country already has the power grid of the future; the problem is it’s being used in a grossly inefficient manner