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El Nino

Rice prices could be particularly volatile if El Nino causes weather conditions to worsen, as global trade in the crop remains thin.

El Nino may pile pressure on Asean food prices as dry weather meets fuel and fertiliser shock

Rice and palm oil prices could spike in a ‘Godzilla’ El Nino, with poultry and livestock prices also at risk

The Iran war has pushed inflation in the Philippines to one of the hottest in Asia and curbed household spending.

Philippines sees slower growth, weak peso beyond end of Marcos’ term in 2028

Government seeks to expand 2027 national budget to US$117b – 6% above 2026’s – to boost economy

Market pressures have squeezed margins for agricultural producers, which could prompt growers to turn to cost-cutting “slash-and-burn” methods of clearing land.

ASEAN BUSINESS

Haze beckons as South-east Asia’s planters come under strain. A ‘Godzilla’ El Nino may just be the start

Indonesia’s move to control exports could increase oversight for haze prevention, says a think tank

The world last faced such a strong El Nino in 2015 and 2016, and it resulted in more than US$7.8 trillion in lost productivity, found a US study.

A stock trader’s guide to navigating rare ‘Super El Nino’: 5 sectors to watch as risks build

The impact is already being felt around the world

Above: a view of cracked ground at Zimbabwe. Strong El Nino conditions in the second half of 2026 are predicted to increase the likelihood of drought, floods and storms in areas including parts of Africa and Asia, FAO and WFP said.

UN food agencies seek US$202 million to shield 8.8 million people from El Nino

Planned support includes cash transfers and flood-control measures, among others

The last El Nino experienced in Australia, which was from 2023 to 2024, caused the driest three-month period on record.

Australia declares El Nino to be strongest in decades

Forecasters expect the weather event to bring excessive rainfall to the Americas and create hot, dry conditions in Asia

Indonesia’s dry season normally runs from May to August, but this year the weather agency predicts it will stretch longer than usual.

Indonesia races to plant rice early against risk of El Nino

The phenomenon usually brings hot, dry weather to Asia and excessive rains to the Americas

A sign that reads "land for sale or for lease" on a drought-affected rice field in Vietnam on Mar 30, 2016. One of the strongest El Ninos on record is widely expected to develop in the second half of 2026.

Global Enterprise

Hot weather hurts Asian crops as powerful El Nino raises concerns about food supplies

Double blow for farmers already grappling with fertiliser and diesel shortages caused by Iran war

WMO secretary-general Celeste Saulo says a strong El Nino will "exacerbate drought and heavy rainfall and increase the risk of heatwaves".

UN urges the world to be ready for extreme heat risk from El Nino

The World Meteorological Organization predicts that the weather pattern will likely continue until November

Meteorologists are expecting that El Nino will emerge from June to August, and strengthen in subsequent months.

A scorching Asian summer will add to risk of surging gas prices

Forecasts currently point to hotter-than-normal summer temperatures in East Asia

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