Economy & Policy

The official forecast ranges for 2026 will be updated in the upcoming monetary policy statement, which will be released on Jan 29.

Singapore’s 2025 core inflation averages 0.7%, down from 2.8% in 2024

December’s core and headline inflation stayed unchanged at 1.2%

Singapore Budget 2026 could focus on long-term issues such as climate change and ageing – themes also present in past years.

What to expect for Budget 2026

[SINGAPORE] The year 2025 may be remembered as solidifying Singapore’s transition to its fourth-generation (4G) leadership.

The percentage of Singaporeans anticipating higher inflation in the year ahead rose to 83.4% in a December 2025 survey, from 47.5% a quarter earlier.

Singaporeans expect inflation to increase slightly in 2026 amid trade uncertainties: survey

Geopolitical uncertainties and higher interest rates are cited as concerns

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A separate business outlook poll by OCBC has revealed that nearly one in two business owners expect the outlook for the next six months to improve.

Singapore SMEs stay expansionary in Q4 2025, though growth likely to ease in near term: OCBC

Higher operating costs, stronger market competition in the region and ongoing economic uncertainty were cited as headwinds in 2026

While the tariffs are currently narrowly focused, the White House cautioned that broader semiconductor tariffs may follow “in the near future”.

Trump’s AI chip tariffs have ‘minimal impact’ on Singapore: MTI

The 25% duties apply to advanced artificial intelligence chips not manufactured locally

The US Justice Department’s criminal probe into Fed chair Jerome Powell over a building renovation project has cast uncertainty over inflation and monetary policy.
BT EXPLAINS

What’s next for home loan rates? Where interest rates are headed with Fed independence in question

Recent events surrounding the US central bank have clouded the outlook for further cuts in 2026

The move comes on the back of rental growth and lower vacancy rates in Q3 2025.

Higher occupancy cap for HDB, private home rentals extended until end-2028 to meet strong demand

The need for further extensions beyond 2028 will be reviewed by the relevant authorities

NODX to six of Singapore's top 10 markets declined last month.

Singapore’s key exports growth eases to 6.1% in December as pharma drags

UOB raises its 2026 NODX expansion projection to 3%, from 1.2% previously; OCBC forecasts a moderation of around 1 to 3%

Without sustained support, “many local businesses risk being outpaced by well-funded foreign competitors”, says SRA president Ernie Koh.
SINGAPORE BUDGET 2026

Retailers warn of being outpaced by foreign rivals as they lay out Budget 2026 proposals

These aim to strengthen local retailers’ competitiveness and ease manpower pressures in a tougher operating environment