US inflation

THE BOTTOM LINE

Trump’s economic promises meet political reality

The 2026 midterm elections loom as a potential disaster

Stefan Hofer of LGT says: "We strongly view that in the US, Europe and most advanced economies, there’s going to be a ramping up of infrastructure spending, and that is a great investment opportunity.”

US inflation, not geopolitics, remains biggest risk to markets in 2026, says this chief investment strategist

LGT Private Banking’s Stefan Hofer cautions that market volatility will be ‘much higher’ this year

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell seems to have internalised that letting politicians dictate monetary policy can have lasting consequences.

Why Fed chair Jerome Powell had to say no

History makes a strong case for central bank independence

“The most important thing facing us is we have got to get inflation back to 2%,” Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee says.

Fed officials back rate-cut pause as inflation concerns linger

The central bank is widely expected to leave its benchmark unchanged at its Jan 27 to 28 meeting

The choice of the next Fed chair should be guided by the objectives set by Congress, not by President Trump’s political interests and personal whims.

The last days of Fed independence?

If Trump appoints a pliant Federal Reserve chair and monetary policy is loosened, it could stoke inflation and hurt global economic stability

The consumer price index rose 2.7% year on year in November.

US annual consumer prices increase less than expected in November

The smaller CPI rise likely reflects delayed data capture late in the month amid holiday discounts

The Fed’s updated economic projections reveal an increasingly optimistic view of growth paired with continued concern about inflation.

US Fed faces dual-mandate challenge amid a divided path forward

No clear policy prescription exists as policymakers balance sticky inflation against labour market risks

US households are going into the end of the year with weak income growth and bank balances that remain flat, after adjusting for inflation, according to the analysis.

Inflation drags US income growth to post-recession levels, risking weaker holiday spending

Older workers face earnings loss due to inflation, younger workers lack strong income gains

The Fed is, after a long government shutdown, finally receiving new official data, but so far it has not done much to resolve the division among policymakers.

US Fed fractures deepen as Barr signals inflation concern

Investors now see about a 40% probability of a rate cut at the December meeting, according to pricing in futures contracts