geoeconomics

NEW GLOBAL ORDER

After the American order: How mid-sized states could become middle powers

Amid great power rivalry, these nations must sustain existing forms of international cooperation and build new ones

Tajikistan's President Emomali Rahmon (left) and Chinese President Xi Jinping. The countries have upgraded their 2007 Good-Neighborliness, Friendship and Cooperation Treaty into a permanent framework.

China’s Tajikistan treaty shows Central Asia’s new investment geography

The region is becoming a business platform for minerals, energy, data and other strategic resources

Visitors in New Delhi. India has lately picked up the pace of liberalising trade, striking deals with the UK and New Zealand.
THE BOTTOM LINE

Commonwealth’s economic momentum grows

The 56-member group can advance trade liberalisation by building on existing Asia-Pacific and African agreements

US President Donald Trump needs economic wins to bring back an electorate weary of global instability.

The art of the deal 2.0: why pragmatism is defining the new US-China trade order

For Singapore and the wider South-east Asian region, this is a double-edged sword

Donald Trump (left) and Xi Jinping at the Apec summit in Busan, South Korea, Oct 30, 2025. Trump's trip to China in May will be the first US presidential trip there since 2017.

US-China summit: Will Xi and Trump stabilise ties?

Beyond Beijing and Washington, Asia-Pacific will watch the bilateral meeting closely

US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at a bilateral meeting at the Apec summit in Busan on Oct 30, 2025.

US-China summit: managing a rivalry, not resolving it

Some of the most useful moves Trump and Xi can make are to lower the temperature and narrow the agenda

The UAE today is not a pure petrostate. Thus, while high oil prices will boost the country's oil revenue, they also hurt the global economy that drives the rest of the Emirati portfolio.
THE BOTTOM LINE

Why the United Arab Emirates walked away from Opec

The economic logic of the decision is just as important as the political one

Asean is now viewed by the survey’s respondents as the most credible platform for upholding the rules-based order.
NEW GLOBAL ORDER

Asean’s test in a fragmented global economy

South-east Asia’s resilience will depend on greater economic integration within the region and continued strategic engagement with external partners

One of the European Union’s goals of engagement with Asean is to build economic competitive advantage relative to other world powers, including the US.

Asean-EU summit: Forging a strategic front amid Middle East turmoil

As geopolitical volatility reshapes the global order, leaders from both blocs stressed that the security of their regions is ‘more interlinked than ever’

US President Donald Trump (left) with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Busan in October 2025. The most plausible outcome of US-China rivalry is not a clean transition from one hegemon to another, but a fragmented order.
NEW GLOBAL ORDER

US-China rivalry and the Kindleberger Trap: Why inaction – not escalation – is the biggest risk

In periods of transition, the greatest threat may not be the clash of powers but the absence of leadership