Geopolitics

PERSPECTIVE

The economics of regime change

Lessons from history for Venezuela and Iran

Japan is gearing up for a snap election in early February, and markets are bracing for potential shifts in fiscal policy, inflation and the direction of the yen.

How much political risk is the market really pricing in?

From Fed independence fears to Japan’s surprise election, host Emily Liu finds out why Asian markets keep climbing despite global political chaos.

Greenland, which is currently about 80 per cent ice-capped, is almost 2.17 million sq km in size. It boasts the world’s northernmost territory, the closest land to the North Pole.

Geoeconomics, not just geopolitics, fuels the Greenland dispute

With mineral reserves valued at around US$186 billion, the island offers more than a security buffer

Minus-two strategies resist a binary choice between the US and China, and emphasise multipolarity and the agency of even small states, such as Singapore..
POLITICS THAT MATTER

New initiatives for a ‘minus-two’ world

The mindset to take initiative and forge new paths with rules for cooperation is part of Singapore’s DNA

Extreme weather events rank as the No 1 risk over the long-term horizon of 10 years, adds the WEF report.

Geo-economic confrontation ranks as No 1 global risk in 2026: World Economic Forum

State-based armed conflict, extreme weather events are also among the top threats this year

Under a spheres-of-influence system, countries like Ukraine risk losing agency over their own futures, forced to accept domination by larger neighbours.
THINKING ALOUD

Is Trump’s embrace of great power politics tenable?

While the liberal international order has clear flaws, the alternative carries significant risks to smaller nations’ autonomy and long-term global stability

Although US-China bilateral trade dropped sharply by 33%, Chinese EV exports to Asean surged 75%.
NEW GLOBAL ORDER

The tariff war that wasn’t: What economists missed about Trump’s trade gambit

Reality proves more complex with non-traditional factors at play, including structural shifts

Senior Minister Lee Hsien Loong with Professor Chan Heng Chee, chair of the Iseas-Yusof Ishak Institute’s board of trustees, at the dialogue on Thursday (Jan 8).

US raid in Venezuela is worrying for small countries: SM Lee

Washington is more willing to act unilaterally when it sees that its national interests require this, he says

The military and intelligence side of Trump's Venezuela operation was masterful, but the legal and political sides seem frightful, and that bodes poorly for the country’s future.

What I learnt in Venezuela

Many are celebrating the ouster of a brutal dictator, but the Maduro regime may survive the loss of Maduro

El Palito refinery of the Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA. The country supplies about 0.8% of global oil.

Singapore, Asia markets gain amid Trump uncertainty, Venezuela turmoil

US President Donald Trump says the United States will take control of the oil-producing South American nation