Geopolitics

Will Washington’s Cuba campaign succeed this time?

There’s a strong case for ousting President Miguel Diaz-Canel, but any attempt could risk real complications

The combination of their interests and capacity to pursue them means that middle powers desire, and could prove pivotal to the emergence of, a new world order.
NEW GLOBAL ORDER

After the American order: How mid-sized states could become middle powers

Amid great power rivalry, these nations must sustain existing forms of international cooperation and build new ones

Iranian mines in the strait have throttled the world’s most important energy artery and driven US inflation to its highest level in years.
THE BOTTOM LINE

A narrow door out of the Hormuz war

The US-Iran deal’s principal virtue is that it lets each side claim enough to sell at home

Tajikistan's President Emomali Rahmon (left) and Chinese President Xi Jinping. The countries have upgraded their 2007 Good-Neighborliness, Friendship and Cooperation Treaty into a permanent framework.

China’s Tajikistan treaty shows Central Asia’s new investment geography

The region is becoming a business platform for minerals, energy, data and other strategic resources

In response to India's strained petroleum reserves, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has asked Indians to drive less, work from home when possible, and ease off on gold purchases.

India on Iran war: the costs of sitting still

New Delhi’s calculated neutrality has ignited a debate over the limits of its foreign policy

On paper, Trump (left) and Xi converged: The US readout says “both countries agreed that Iran can never have a nuclear weapon” and Hormuz “must remain open”.

A choreographed detente: Reading the Trump-Xi summit

Xi’s move to host Russia so soon after Washington’s visit suggests Beijing plans to maintain its full portfolio of relationships

US President Donald Trump needs economic wins to bring back an electorate weary of global instability.

The art of the deal 2.0: why pragmatism is defining the new US-China trade order

For Singapore and the wider South-east Asian region, this is a double-edged sword

US President Donald Trump (left) with Chinese President Xi Jinping. The strategic interests of the US and China remain wholly incompatible.

Trump-Xi summit: tactical concessions but little strategic breakthrough

Both Beijing and Washington can claim some kind of victory from the summit without giving up much

In Malaysia, energy subsidies remain a key challenge for government finances. Yet any reform or reduction must be balanced against rising living costs.
POLITICS THAT MATTER

Growth and stability in the storm: steering Asean economies together

South-east Asia is shifting from the politics of expansion to questions of allocation