Geopolitics

NEW GLOBAL ORDER

Decisive dynamics, diplomacy and dialogue: South-east Asia in the arc of uncertainty

Besides geopolitics at play, strategic trust and peace between Asean states are also being put to the test

Anti-Trump protestors in Nuuk, Greenland's capital. US President Donald Trump’s threat to annex Greenland raises the once-unthinkable prospect that America could use its military to seize territory from Denmark – a Nato ally.

Europe must not appease Trump on Greenland

By capitulating again, the EU and UK would signal that we are now irrevocably in a might-makes-right world

A pro-government rally in Teheran on Jan 12. The Trump administration’s approach to Iran represents both moral commitment to human rights and potentially catastrophic miscalculation of American capabilities to shape events in complex societies.

Why the US ‘rescue’ of Iran could backfire

The Trump administration risks strengthening the regime it seeks to unseat

Nearly seven in 10 Venezuelans believe their livelihoods will improve over the next year, after the US' capture of President Nicolas Maduro.
PERSPECTIVE

The economics of regime change

Lessons from history for Venezuela and Iran

Japan is gearing up for a snap election in early February, and markets are bracing for potential shifts in fiscal policy, inflation and the direction of the yen.

How much political risk is the market really pricing in?

From Fed independence fears to Japan’s surprise election, host Emily Liu finds out why Asian markets keep climbing despite global political chaos.

Greenland, which is currently about 80 per cent ice-capped, is almost 2.17 million sq km in size. It boasts the world’s northernmost territory, the closest land to the North Pole.

Geoeconomics, not just geopolitics, fuels the Greenland dispute

With mineral reserves valued at around US$186 billion, the island offers more than a security buffer

Minus-two strategies resist a binary choice between the US and China, and emphasise multipolarity and the agency of even small states, such as Singapore..
POLITICS THAT MATTER

New initiatives for a ‘minus-two’ world

The mindset to take initiative and forge new paths with rules for cooperation is part of Singapore’s DNA

Extreme weather events rank as the No 1 risk over the long-term horizon of 10 years, adds the WEF report.

Geo-economic confrontation ranks as No 1 global risk in 2026: World Economic Forum

State-based armed conflict, extreme weather events are also among the top threats this year

Under a spheres-of-influence system, countries like Ukraine risk losing agency over their own futures, forced to accept domination by larger neighbours.
THINKING ALOUD

Is Trump’s embrace of great power politics tenable?

While the liberal international order has clear flaws, the alternative carries significant risks to smaller nations’ autonomy and long-term global stability

Although US-China bilateral trade dropped sharply by 33%, Chinese EV exports to Asean surged 75%.
NEW GLOBAL ORDER

The tariff war that wasn’t: What economists missed about Trump’s trade gambit

Reality proves more complex with non-traditional factors at play, including structural shifts