Singapore Nodx

As 2025 draws to a close, full-year forecasts for gross domestic product growth have narrowed and risen.

Economists raise Singapore’s 2026 growth forecast to 2.3%, upgrade 2025 forecast: MAS survey

Full-year growth for 2025 is now expected at 4.1%, with a boost from manufacturing

Total merchandise trade grew 8.5% on the year in Q3, extending the 7% rise in the preceding quarter.

Singapore narrows 2025 NODX forecast to ‘around 2.5%’, expects ‘moderated growth’ in 2026

EnterpriseSG projects an expansion of 0% to 2% for next year, in line with global trade outlook

In October, key exports to all but two of Singapore’s top 10 markets increased.

Singapore’s key exports surprise again with 22.2% surge in October, beating forecasts

Sales to most markets grow, fuelled by both electronics and non-electronics; but those to US contract 12.5%, leading falls

Going forward, NODX may remain volatile amid various external headwinds.

Singapore braces for export slowdown as front-loading ‘payback effects’ bite

NODX contracts a surprising 11.3% in August, prompting one bank to slash its full-year forecast to -1 to 1%

EnterpriseSG says that it is actively monitoring the evolving tariff situation, and will adjust its 2025 full-year NODX forecast “as necessary” to reflect changing market conditions.

Singapore key exports shrink an unexpected 11.3% in August; US and Indonesian markets lead slide

Economists previously forecast an 0.8% expansion; only three out of Singapore’s top 10 markets post increase in exports

The latest median outlook is close to the upper band of the official GDP forecast range of 1.5-2.5%, which was upgraded by the Ministry of Trade and Industry on Aug 12.

Economists raise Singapore’s 2025 growth outlook to 2.4% on stronger manufacturing, exports

Their forecasts for inflation and unemployment remain largely unchanged

The 4.6% year-on-year decline in NODX in July is a sharp contrast from the revised 12.9% jump clocked in June.

Singapore exports tipped for slower growth after worse-than-expected contraction in July

But some economists believe the relatively lower US tariff rate that the Republic faces, along with growing electronic demand, could mitigate any slowdown

Out of Singapore's top 10 export markets, NODX expanded only in four of them: Hong Kong, South Korea, Taiwan and the eurozone.

Singapore exports swing to 4.6% contraction in July, worse than what market was bracing for

This takes year-to-date NODX growth to 3.6%, above the official full-year forecast range