The Business Times

Gold slips on firmer US dollar ahead of Jackson Hole meeting

Published Thu, Aug 24, 2017 · 01:11 PM

[LONDON] Gold drifted lower on Thursday, pressured by a firmer US dollar as investors waited for signals about interest rates from central bankers meeting in Jackson Hole.

Losses were limited, however, after threats by US President Donald Trump to shut down the government unless he got funding for a border wall with Mexico.

Key to the direction of the market were funds holding huge long positions in Comex gold futures, said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank in Copenhagen.

"We've had two failed attempts at the upside this year which resulted in a flush out of longs, and the longer we stay here without breaking higher, the bigger the risk that these guys will start to get impatient," he said.

Gold failed in both April and June to break through the top of its broad US$1,200-US$1,300 range this year.

"But at the same time, there's this threat to close down the US government by Trump if he doesn't get his wall so that's providing some underlying support. It's well and truly wait and see." Spot gold was down 0.2 per cent at US$1,287.10 an ounce by 1251 GMT, after gaining 0.4 per cent in the previous session.

US gold futures slipped 0.2 per cent to US$1,292.20 per ounce.

"The market is pricing in the Federal Reserve's actions at the Jackson Hole meeting and people are expecting some kind of tightening going on in that space. So that's why gold is going to be under some kind of pressure," said Richard Xu, a fund manager at China's biggest gold exchange-traded fund, HuaAn Gold.

Markets were focused on an annual meeting of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, starting on Thursday, where Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi are set to deliver speeches on Friday on the outlook for monetary policy and interest rates.

ECB's Draghi on Wednesday warned against hasty policy responses and said gaps in understanding the workings of new policies remain.

Gold is highly sensitive to rising US interest rates, as these increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion, while boosting the US dollar, in which it is priced.

The US dollar steadied on Thursday after another politically-driven slide against the euro and yen, helped by nerves over what message Federal Reserve policymakers will send during meetings in Jackson Hole starting later in the day.

Silver fell 0.4 per cent to US$16.94 an ounce, while platinum was flat at US$976.95 an ounce.

Palladium shed 0.2 per cent to US$931.

REUTERS

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