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Australia consumer confidence hit by global gloom: survey
[SYDNEY] A measure of Australian consumer sentiment fell for a second straight month in July with households seemingly spooked by gloomy media coverage of events in China and Greece, underlying how volatile the mood has become.
The survey of 1,200 people by the Melbourne Institute and Westpac Bank showed its index of consumer sentiment fell a seasonally adjusted 3.2 per cent in July, from June.
The index reading of 92.2 was 2.8 per cent lower than in June 2014 and the weakest since December.
The drop has more than wiped out the May bounce that followed a cut in interest rates to record lows and a government budget that included a surprise tax break for small businesses.
Westpac chief economist, Bill Evans, attributed the latest decline to economic instability in Europe and "sensational coverage" of the recent slump in Chinese shares.
With shares in China now having steadied and progress made on a debt deal for Greece, it was likely that sentiment could bounce back in coming weeks, said Evans.
Indeed, it was notable that a survey of businesses out this week showed no such concerns with confidence at its highest in nearly two years as sales and profits improved markedly in June. "Further evidence that this headline impact from overseas news is unlikely to be sustained can be found in the response of households to the outlook for the unemployment rate," said Evans, noting that fears of unemployment had declined.
The details of the survey also proved a very mixed bag. While the measure of family finances compared to a year ago dived 10.4 per cent, the outlook for the next 12 months actually improved by 6.9 per cent.
The survey's measure of economic conditions for the next 12 months dropped 10.4 per cent, while that for the next 5 years eased 4.4 per cent.
Yet the index for whether it was a good time to buy a major household item edged up 0.2 per cent.
Respondents were also torn on the outlook for housing. While the index for whether it was a good time to buy a home tumbled 16.7 per cent in the month, consumers still expected house prices to continue to rise.