The Business Times

Oil rises over 2%, but shows first weekly fall in six

Published Fri, Nov 17, 2017 · 10:50 PM

[NEW YORK] Oil rebounded more than 2 per cent on Friday after falling for five straight session as a major US crude pipeline was shut and traders anticipated an Opec deal to extend curbs on production.

Prices, however, fell for the first week in six, pressured by rising US output data and doubts that Russia would support an extension of the Opec output cut deal. Prices rebounded after Thursday's comments by Saudi Arabia's energy minister signaled a willingness to extend output cuts when Opec meets on Nov 30.

"Obviously, the comments gave us guarantee that the extension is going to happen and was a driving story overnight,"said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago.

"Globally, we're coming against the backdrop of tightness in distillate inventories and strong global refinery demand. Those catalysts will continue to drive us higher." Brent crude oil rose US$1.36, or 2.2 per cent, to settle at US$62.72 a barrel while US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) ended US$1.41, or 2.6 per cent, at US$56.55 a barrel.

For the week, Brent was down 1.3 per cent and WTI fell 0.3 per cent.

TransCanada Corp's 590,000 barrel-per-day (bpd) Keystone pipeline remained shut after a leak in South Dakota on Thursday.

Traders said the shut-in would add to bullish sentiment due to fewer barrels going into Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point of the WTI contract. The WTI prompt spread CLc1-CLc2 narrowed by as much as 7 cents in the day.

Meanwhile, money managers raised their net long US crude futures and options positions this week, with short positions at their lowest level since March.

Prices fell this week as fears of oversupply remained after US government data showed oil output C-OUT-T-EIA touching a record 9.65 million bpd last week.

The International Energy Agency also said that the United States would account for 80 per cent of the global increase in oil production over the next decade.

"Market participants are closely watching the rising oil-production profile in the US, which will remain the predominant bearish factor," said Abhishek Kumar, senior energy analyst at Interfax Energy's Global Gas Analytics in London.

US energy companies kept the oil rig count unchanged this week, General Electric Co's Baker Hughes energy services firm said on Friday. Some analysts expect a gradual decline in the fourth quarter.

Signs of rising US output have dampened the impact of output cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec), Russia and several other producers.

Earlier this week, Russia's Rosneft said an exit from the supply curb deal was a serious challenge, though added that it was committed to a deal.

REUTERS

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