The Business Times

US oil drillers add rigs for 2nd week in a row: Baker Hughes

Published Sat, Jun 11, 2016 · 01:15 AM
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[NEW YORK] US energy firms this week added rigs drilling for oil for a second week in a row for the first time since August, energy services firm Baker Hughes Inc said on Friday, after crude prices this week rallied to an 11-month high over US$51 a barrel.

Analysts and producers have said US crude prices over US$50 would trigger a return to the well pad after a near two-year slump in drilling.

Drillers added three oil rigs in the week to June 10, bringing the total rig count up to 328, compared with 635 a year ago, Baker Hughes said in its closely followed report.

Two of those oil rigs were added in the Bakken shale producing region in North Dakota, bringing the total up to 24, the first additions in the basin since November.

Before this week, drillers have added rigs in only two weeks so far this year, cutting on average 10 oil rigs per week for a total of 211.

That compares with cuts of 18 rigs per week on average in 2015 for a total decline of 963, the biggest annual decline since at least 1988 amid the biggest rout in crude prices in a generation.

The rig count has dropped since hitting a peak of 1,609 in October 2014 as US crude futures fell from over US$107 a barrel mid-2014 to a near 13-year low around US$26 in February.

Since then, crude futures have almost doubled, breaking through US$51 this week as US inventories declined and on supply worries in Nigeria.

On Friday, however, futures were under pressure, falling nearly 3 percent to around US$49.15, amid another rise in the rig count and as a strong dollar weighs on demand.

"Barring another commodity price collapse, we do believe the bottom is in for the rig count. We expect rig counts to remain choppy for the remainder of the summer with potential increases later in the third quarter to early fourth quarter," analysts at US financial service firm Cowen & Co said in a note this week.

Cowen forecast the total oil and natural gas land rig count would increase by about 315 rigs to 697 rigs by the fourth quarter of 2017. While that is less than the 400-rig increase expected by some other firms, Cowen said oil prices would have to rise to around US$63 a barrel to cause drillers to add that many rigs.

That is much higher than current crude futures, which are fetching nearly US$51 for the balance of 2016 and over US$52 for calendar 2017.

REUTERS

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