The Business Times

Asia: Markets rise but traders on edge over global outlook

Published Tue, Mar 26, 2019 · 03:07 AM
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[HONG KONG] Asian markets staged a tentative recovery on Tuesday from the previous day's steep losses, with investors increasingly anxious about the state of the global economy.

With a mixed lead from Wall Street, regional traders had few catalysts to drive buying, while safe-haven flows saw the dollar edge up against high-yielding currencies.

Attention is also back on London, where MPs essentially wrested control of the Brexit debate from Prime Minister Theresa May with a vote that will allow them to decide on a number of possibilities for how to proceed.

Investors in Asia were suffering a hangover from Monday's pummelling, which came on the back of a drop in benchmark 10-year Treasury bond yields below those for three-month bills - for the first time since before the global financial crisis.

This so-called inverted yield curve shows investors are more willing to buy long-term debt - usually viewed as a higher risk - as they consider the short-term outlook more hazardous. Such a scenario has preceded several recessions in recent decades.

"Recession worries may be premature for the US, but the negative signals are consistent with the recent data," said Oanda senior market analyst Edward Moya.

MAY'S FRESH CRISIS

Tokyo led gains, jumping 1.8 per cent by the break - having dived three percent Monday -- while Hong Kong edged up 0.4 per cent and Shanghai was flat.

Sydney added 0.1 per cent, Singapore put on 0.7 per cent, while Seoul, Wellington, Taipei and Manila also rose.

In Britain, the Brexit saga took a new twist when lawmakers inflicted yet another defeat on Mrs May by voting to take control of parliamentary business that will see them hold a series of ballots on different options for leaving the EU.

They will now choose to revoke Article 50 and cancel Brexit, hold another referendum, vote for a deal including a customs union and single market membership, or leave the EU without a deal.

However, even if they decide a majority course of action, the government is not legally bound to follow their instructions.

The move came after the premier admitted she still had not secured the votes needed to get her Brexit deal through parliament.

EU leaders last week delayed the divorce but warned that unless Mrs May can push her withdrawal deal through, Britain must come up with a new plan by April 12 - or leave its closest trading partner with no deal at all.

While uncertainty reigns, the sterling was slightly higher on Tuesday, with investors still hopeful Britain will avoid a no-deal Brexit, which some warn could be an economic calamity for the country.

AFP

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