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Baltic Exchange Shipping Insights
DRY BULK REPORT
The week proved conspicuous for all the wrong reasons. This was the week when the Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) turned negative, closing at -20, whilst the average of the routes settled at $3,973.
With the perennial Q1 weakness, Chinese New Year, the rapidly evolving coronavirus crisis and the rains and flooding in Brazil also weighed heavily on the values.
Whilst it remains difficult to delineate between macro events and sentiment, the financial markets, which are due to reopen in China on Monday, may provide much-needed clarity.
The North Atlantic was purportedly devoid of any firm interest on the C7 route.
Further south, Alufer were rumoured to have covered a Kamsar bauxite cargo at approximately $15.85, basis 22 to 27 February.
CCL were linked as owners, however this was not corroborated. The market was quick to extrapolate an equivalent C3, absent any reported fixtures on the route.
A handful of fixtures were concluded for West Australia to China on Friday, with FMG reportedly taking the Navios Ray, (179,515dwt, 2012-built) basis 14/16 February, and the Alpha Confidence (176,320dwt, 2011- built) basis 15/17 February, both at $6.10.
NYK were understood to have concluded $6.15 basis a non-index laycan of 5/14 February, although no vessel was attached.
A disrupted week in the market with holidays in the East.
The Atlantic continued to labour under the weight of available tonnage and rates here fell sharply throughout the week. Asia fared little better, with limited fresh enquiry.
A dearth of period-fixing in recent weeks, but reports this week of an 82,000dwt ship achieving $11,200 for 14 to 16 months trading.
Out of East Coast South America to Asia, a $13,500 plus $350,000 ballast bonus was concluded on an 82,000dwt ship at start of the week, but rates for the same trip had eroded to closer to $12,500 plus $250,000 ballast bonus by the weekend.
Some limited action out of the Black Sea saw a 75,000dwt ship agree $19,000 for a trip to Singapore-Japan.
With Asian holidays suppressing activity there little was reported. However, a 75,000dwt ship agreed $3,800 for a North Pacific round-trip, whilst from Indonesia, $1,800 was concluded on an 80,000dwt ship for a trip to East Coast India.
Another poor week for the Baltic Supramax Index (BSI) closing at 524, which is down 18 points from Monday.
Period activity remained slow, but a 64,000dwt Ultramax was fixed from the US Gulf for six to eight months, trading for around $13,000.
The Atlantic remained uneventful, with limited fresh enquiry from East Coast South America.
From the Mediterranean, the market remained positional, with better numbers being paid for fronthaul trips.
Owners remain reluctant to trade vessels to China.
From the Continent there was a little enquiry at the beginning of the week, with a 63,500dwt ship fixing delivery Belfast, via France, to the Egyptian Mediterranean at $9,000.
The Asian arena remained in the doldrums, prompted by a considerable supply of prompt tonnage and the extended holidays.
A 52,000dwt ship was fixed basis delivery South Kalimantan trip to India, at $6,000.
Further north, from CIS Pacific, a 53,000dwt ship fixed delivery Nakhodkha, and redelivery Singapore-Japan, in the mid $3,000s.
The Indian Ocean fared little better, with a 58,000dwt ship fixing delivery Richards Bay, trip Djibouti, at $10,000.
It has been a continuous drop since the beginning of the year on the Baltic Handysize Index (BHSI).
Having started the year at 465, it closed last week at 332.
Lower rates were reported across the Atlantic in key areas showing no sign of recovery.
From Skaw-Passero, a mid-sized vessel was reportedly fixed for a trip to the Mediterranean at the level of $6,000, with some waiting on the owners account.
A 37,000dwt ship delivery East Coast South America, was fixed for a trip to Southeast Asia in the mid $13,000s.
In the East, brokers saw tonnage sitting spot, with little cargo support, whilst some chose to ballast from Singapore to South Africa for other alternatives.
Limited fixture came to light from the Pacific basin this week.
TANKER MARKET REPORT
The market in the Middle East tumbled this week, with most of the blame laying with the Chinese New Year holiday and the outbreak of the Coronavirus.
Added to this, oil and bunker prices have fallen, which has increased the level of uncertainty.
Rates for 270,000mt to China fell 25 per cent to WS60, while 280,000mt to the US Gulf (USG) lost 21 per cent to WS37.
The Atlantic region didn't fare much better, with rates for 260,000mt, West Africa to China, now assessed 15 per cent down to WS63.5.
In the 280,000mt USG to China trade, rates have fallen 26 per cent to around $8m, causing activity to pick up in the latter stages of the week.
Rates for 130,000mt West Africa to UK-Continent fell 20 per cent to WS105, while 135,000mt Black Sea to the Mediterranean is worth 22 points less than a week ago at WS115.
For the 140,000mt Basrah to the Mediterranean route, too much tonnage and not enough enquiry has dragged the market down 35 per cent to WS50.
Rates for 80,000mt Ceyhan to Mediterranean voyages have nose-dived, losing a third of their value to WS95.
80,000mt Cross-North Sea rates lost a quarter to WS120 level, with 100,000mt Baltic to UK-Continent down over 30 points at WS102.5-105 level.
On the other side of the Atlantic, rates for 70,000mt Caribbean to the USG were halved, collapsing to WS160.
70,000mt USG to the Mediterranean shed another 40 points to WS150 level.
It was again another disappointing week for owners, with 75,000mt Middle East Gulf to Japan trade now hovering at around WS82.5.
This contrasts with a week ago when rates were in the mid to high WS90s.
55,000mt rates were more settled in the low to mid WS90S, with last seen here being Vitol paying WS95, albeit for an early position of 3 February loading.
There was no respite in the 37,000mt Amsterdam Rotterdam Antwerp (ARA) to US Atlantic Coast trade, with what limited enquiry there was, seeing the market fall from WS162.5 region to high WS140s.
The clean cross-Mediterranean market regained almost five points to sit now at WS165.
Rates buckled in the 38,000mt backhaul trade from USG to UK-Continent, falling just over 25 points to barely WS155 level.
Capesize 5TC Forward Curves From Monday 3 February 2020, the Baltic will no longer be assessing +8 Cal and +9 Cal on the Cape 5TC forward curves.
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