US economy may be poised for a supply-side surprise
Washington
WILL 2018 be the year the supply side of the economy roars back to life? If so, the Federal Reserve's expectations for inflation may once again be met with disappointment. But be wary of believing this would portend a dovish year for policy. A supply-side rebound would likely trigger upward pressure on the long end of the yield curve, giving the Fed more room to raise rates.
The central bank has a pessimistic view of the economy's fundamental capacity for growth. According to the Summary of Economic Projections, policy makers hold a median estimate of longer-run growth of just 1.8 per cent. Low labour force growth and productivity account for this anaemic number.
BT is now on Telegram!
For daily updates on weekdays and specially selected content for the weekend. Subscribe to t.me/BizTimes
International
China says Hamas and Fatah express will for reconciliation
US consumer confidence at lowest level since 2022
Record gold prices boost recycling: WGC
Malaysian fast food operator QSR shelves IPO plans amid boycott campaign: sources
WHO warns of bird flu risk spreading to cows outside US
Sri Lanka’s key inflation rate rises to 1.5% in April