Global economy

Kristalina Georgieva has been through the Covid-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine, the tariffs turmoil and now the conflict in the Middle East.

IMF chief warns world isn’t ready for shocks that are piling up

The best ammunition against such crises is objective analysis, she adds

Should disruptions persist into 2027, global growth would slip to 1.8%, according to the OECD.

Global economy risks slump on prolonged Iran conflict: OECD

Fiscal expansions will likely shoulder most of the burden

Meteorologists are expecting that El Nino will emerge from June to August, and strengthen in subsequent months.

A scorching Asian summer will add to risk of surging gas prices

Forecasts currently point to hotter-than-normal summer temperatures in East Asia

Humanoid robotics may lift economy-wide productivity more than other AI forecasts suggest – but it will also affect more jobs.
THE BOTTOM LINE

Bond yields may be finally baking in an AI world

Investment firms are reassessing the long-term macroeconomic impact of artificial intelligence

US indexes have surged back to record highs in the month-and-a-half since the markets’ Iran war scare bottomed out at the end of March.

Global bonds battered as flaring inflation spooks investors

Rising Treasury yields have a broad impact on other assets around the globe

US President Donald Trump's positions have forced into focus a collision of economic, trade and strategic imbalances that are reshaping the global order, says the writer.
NEW GLOBAL ORDER

The collision of imbalances shaping a more contested world – and why tariffs are not the answer

Uneven gains and strategic tensions are driving politics and fuelling scepticism towards globalisation