Global economy
The return of fiscal dominance
As public debt rises and trade fades as a growth engine, central banks risk losing the independence that underpins global financial stability
IMF sees steady global growth in 2026 as AI boom offsets trade headwinds
It forecast global GDP growth at 3.3% in 2026, up 0.2 percentage point from its last estimate in October
The last days of Fed independence?
If Trump appoints a pliant Federal Reserve chair and monetary policy is loosened, it could stoke inflation and hurt global economic stability
Tariffs, geopolitical tension and a US$800 billion deal: World Economic Forum 2026
Businesses batten down at Davos as global policy uncertainty reaches two-decade high
In 2026, trade drama will shift from Washington to Beijing
The real uncertainty lies in the rising resistance to China’s manufactured surplus
World Bank sees resilient global growth in 2026 despite tariffs
Global output growth will slow slightly to 2.6% this year from 2.7% in 2025
The tariff war that wasn’t: What economists missed about Trump’s trade gambit
Reality proves more complex with non-traditional factors at play, including structural shifts
Don’t be fooled – everything has changed for the global economy: Gita Gopinath
Damage caused by US tariffs has so far been muted but that won’t last
Why 2026 is poised to be another rocky year for global trade
The US, Canada and Mexico are about to start reviewing the North American free-trade deal that took effect in 2020
