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Argentina hikes interest rates to 60% as peso plummets
ARGENTINA'S central bank hiked its benchmark interest rate from 45 to 60 per cent on Thursday (Friday morning, Singapore time), the highest in the world, in a dramatic but fruitless bid to shore up the peso, which plunged to a record low against the US dollar.
Despite the Central Bank of the Argentine Republic's extraordinary measure to impose one of the world's highest benchmark rates, the currency lost a further 13.5 per cent by the close - its biggest daily loss of the year.
The Argentine currency has now lost 53 per cent of its value since the beginning of the year, to trade at 39.87 to the US dollar. It was worth around 18 to the US dollar at the start of the year.
But the Merval index on the Buenos Aires stock market jumped 5.34 per cent to 26,754.85 points on the back of a 13.5 per cent rise in the share price of Brazilian petroleum giant Petrobras.
The weakening peso made stock prices tempting and drove sales.
After the market close, Treasury Minister Nicolas Dujovne pledged to announce a set of new economic measures on Monday, and will target a fiscal deficit for 2019 that is lower than the current target of 1.3 per cent of gross domestic product in order to reduce the government's need to go to debt markets.
Earlier Marcos Pena, President Mauricio Macri's Cabinet chief, was forced to deny the government was facing an economic disaster.
"We are not facing economic failure," said Mr Pena. "This is a transformation, not failure. In that transformation there are difficult moments."
Ratings agency Moody's said the central bank's move is "a clear signal that economic policy approaches have not been sufficient to contain the financial pressures facing Argentina".
Crisis gripped the South American giant's economy over the previous 24 hours. Mr Macri had on Wednesday unexpectedly requested an acceleration to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) funding of US$50 million agreed in June.
The government has already drawn down a first tranche of US$15 billion - some of which has been used to try and prop up the peso.
A statement from the president aimed at calming the markets appeared to have done the opposite after his request - effectively to get early access to the remaining US$35 billion of the loan - sent the peso plummeting almost 7 per cent by the close.
Despite explicit support from the IMF for his policies, the peso opened a further 4 per cent lower on Thursday - prompting the Central Bank's intervention.
The bank pledged to keep interest rates unchanged at 60 per cent until at least December.
IMF managing director Christine Lagarde said on Wednesday she had agreed to Mr Macri's request to speed up disbursement of the loan in a bid to shore up Argentina's battered economy. In return for IMF support, the government has committed to reducing its budget deficit to 2.7 per cent this year, from 3.9 per cent in 2017, and to 1.3 per cent of GDP next year.
But analysts said the government needs to provide more details about how it plans to achieve aggressive IMF fiscal targets, if markets are to be assuaged.
On top of that, the government faces a major obstacle in November, when a US$7 billion foreign exchange debt repayment is due.
"This will be a key flashpoint," said Edward Glossop, Latin American specialist with Capital Economics. "Regardless of what happens from here, the country's weak balance sheets mean that Argentine markets will remain extremely vulnerable to swings in investor risk appetite."
Speaking at the opening of the Council of the Americas business chamber in Buenos Aires, Mr Pena attributed the market volatility to Argentina's recent history. "We are the country that has the most times violated its international contracts in the world, which has lied and cheated the rest of the time, and has shown again and again - until now - that it is not willing to seek fiscal balance and depend on its own resources," he said.
He insisted the path taken by Mr Macri, since he took office in December 2015 after the free-spending leftist government of Cristina Kirchner, is one "of fiscal balance, development and growth".
The current exchange turbulence was attributable to "structural vulnerabilities" following a massive drought that affected agricultural production, the main generator of foreign currency, and a "change in the financial and commercial context in the world, notably due to tensions between the US and China," Mr Pena said. "There are no magic solutions, you have to go for the truth." AFP, REUTERS