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油价担忧升温 东南亚央行在权衡宽松政策时保持警惕

经济学家认为，随着政策空间缩小和滞胀风险逼近，各国央行可能加息或推迟降息

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Evan See

Evan See

Published Fri, Mar 13, 2026 · 04:40 PM
    • 亚洲大部分石油供应流经的霍尔木兹海峡，其命运依然充满不确定性。
    • 亚洲大部分石油供应流经的霍尔木兹海峡，其命运依然充满不确定性。 照片：路透社

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    【新加坡】尽管2025年贸易和投资摆脱了关税担忧的影响，东南亚经济体在新年伊始表现强劲，但石油冲击带来的新一轮通胀威胁，可能促使这些经济体推迟宽松周期，甚至开始收紧政策。

    自美-伊-以冲突爆发以来，油价已飙升超过30%，并因霍尔木兹海峡关闭威胁全球石油供应，于周一（3月9日）突破每桶100美元。

    进入2026年，该区域的通胀形势普遍温和，为东南亚经济体通过进一步降息来刺激增长留下了充足的政策空间。

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